Bitcoin in 2025 – WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW!

00:01 hey everyone happy New Year in 2025 00:04 let's talk about what you need to know 00:06 about Bitcoin in 2025 so probably the 00:10 biggest thing that anyone is talking 00:12 about in the world of Bitcoin is whether 00:15 we are going to get a big pullback in 00:17 the price of Bitcoin in 00:19 2026 not this year but next year or 00:23 whether we are in something called a 00:24 super cycle meaning we're not going to 00:26 get a major pullback uh so let's do a 00:29 recap of the price cycle of Bitcoin so 00:32 Bitcoin started out uh at about 5 cents 00:35 by the time it really had a price that 00:36 was consistent for any period of time it 00:38 was about 5 cents it ran up over a 00:41 period of time to $32 then it came back 00:43 down to $2 which was a 94% price 00:46 correction uh then over the next couple 00:48 years it went up down to uh uh went up 00:50 to 00:51 $11,200 came down to $92 now remember 00:54 those base sort of Baseline numbers were 00:56 $2 you know 5 cents then $2 then $92 but 00:60 when it came down from $1,200 to $92 01:03 that was a 93% price correction the 01:05 previous one was 94% the that one was 01:08 93% uh then the price went up to um 01:13 $119,000 and came back down to 01:16 $3,200 uh that again $3,200 is radically 01:20 higher than the $92 which was the 01:22 previous low but it was still down about 01:24 84% as compared to the the 01:27 $19,000 uh then Bitcoin went up to 69,00 01:30 ,000 in 2021 came back down to 01:34 $15,500 now $15,500 was way higher than 01:38 the previous low of 3,200 but still 01:41 about 70 uh 78% 78 about 78% below uh 01:47 the all-time high now so what do I think 01:49 is going to happen from here right now 01:51 as I talk Bitcoin is about $997,000 per 01:54 coin so the debate in Bitcoin land is 01:58 will there be a big price correction in 01:60 2026 or not or are we in a super cycle 02:04 and meaning we are not going to see the 02:06 big price uh pullbacks we've seen 02:08 historically about every four years so 02:10 uh the price highs the highest price 02:13 years of Bitcoin tend to be the year 02:16 after the having which I've talked about 02:18 in other videos which is the year after 02:20 the presidential election it just so 02:21 happens that the presidential election 02:23 year lines up with the Bitcoin 02:30 the best year of Bitcoin price ever but 02:34 that would also predict if history is a 02:37 guide that after a massive rally in 2025 02:41 that then we were are going to see a 02:42 significant price correction in 2026 02:45 well why does that happen well because 02:47 what happens is at the beginning of a as 02:50 as as I heard earlier this week someone 02:52 said look at the beginning of a bitcoin 02:54 price cycle you are telling your Uber 02:56 driver about Bitcoin and by the end of 02:58 the Bitcoin price cycle your Uber driver 03:01 is telling you about Bitcoin so I 03:04 thought that was a good way of sort of 03:05 thinking about you know in in the early 03:07 days of of a price cycle in this one 03:09 case 2022 2023 and 2024 or I guess 2022 03:14 was a down year so it would be 2023 2024 03:16 and 2025 you know back in 2023 nobody 03:19 wanted to talk about Bitcoin except 03:20 people like me who are buying as much as 03:22 we possibly could in 2024 sort of the 03:24 world starts to wake up and in 2025 if 03:28 history is any guide we will have an 03:30 epic price Rong at some point it will be 03:33 so big that everybody you talk to will 03:36 have bought some amount of Bitcoin and 03:37 will be convinced that they are going to 03:39 get rich you know tomorrow because they 03:42 bought it at 200,000 a coin and they're 03:44 expecting it to go to $400,000 a coin 03:47 the next day and the short take is 03:49 rallies like that are not sustainable um 03:52 they are completely normal completely 03:53 natural it happens in every asset class 03:56 uh Google Amazon Apple Facebook Tesla 04:00 Netflix Nvidia like every major stock 04:04 and even stock indexes over the Long 04:05 Haul go through uh Cycles like that it's 04:08 just in Bitcoin it tends to be a 04:10 four-year cycle and other assets tend to 04:12 not have the sort of same um you know 04:15 they tend to either be shorter or longer 04:17 than that for individual stocks it tends 04:18 to be shorter for entire you know stock 04:21 markets it tends to be longer for 04:22 example the S&P 500 which is the 500 04:25 largest US Stocks um you know there 04:28 tends to be a major recession about 04:30 about every 10 years or in this case 04:32 maybe 10 or 15 years who knows um but 04:34 the short take is it's just you just 04:36 can't get a parabolic rise that lasts 04:38 forever because eventually you know when 04:40 every single Uber driver is buying 04:42 Bitcoin you just run out of Uber drivers 04:45 that keep pushing the price Higher and 04:46 Higher and Higher and there's people 04:48 that are sitting on major gains with 04:50 Bitcoin they bought at 60,000 or 880,000 04:52 or 120,000 that you know bit when 04:55 bitcoin's up at 280,000 they're like you 04:57 know I there's something nice I might 04:59 want to buy or I might want to pay my 05:01 house off or I might want to you know 05:02 buy a new Tesla or I might want to 05:04 whatever now in my case I have no debt 05:06 so I have no house to pay off but there 05:08 are a lot of people out there that when 05:10 Bitcoin gets high enough they start 05:12 getting debt free or they start you know 05:15 wanting to upgrade their lifestyle or 05:17 things like that so as a result of that 05:18 you just end up in a world where you 05:20 can't sustain a parabolic rally forever 05:23 and it has the price has to come back 05:25 down to something more reasonable that 05:28 reflects actual adoption rather than 05:30 just sort of raw speculation um and 05:33 speculation is good that's what price 05:35 Discovery is the the way we find out 05:37 what everything in this world is worth 05:39 is by people speculating on what it's 05:40 worth and if enough people are 05:42 speculating you'll they'll eventually 05:44 figure out what the fair price of 05:45 anything is including Bitcoin so if 05:48 history is a guide we will see a huge 05:50 price run in 2025 followed by a 05:53 correction in 2026 now the first 05:56 question everybody asks is but wait 05:58 maybe instead of buying Bitcoin Co now I 06:00 should wait for 2026 and buy it when 06:02 it's cheaper um typically everybody 06:04 who's ever attempted to do that ends up 06:06 losing out and the reason for that is 06:08 one we don't know if there will be a 06:10 price correction in 2026 the fact that 06:13 Bitcoin has gone through these Cycles 06:15 all of that happened prior to bitcoin 06:17 being adopted by Wall Street uh with the 06:19 Bitcoin ETFs the exchange traded funds 06:22 that launched in January of 2024 and 06:24 without those Bitcoin ETFs the market 06:26 was mostly controlled by average retail 06:29 investors I mean just individuals and 06:31 individuals are a lot less predictable 06:35 than than people on Wall Street meaning 06:37 individuals tend to freak out a lot 06:38 easier and they also tend to get overly 06:42 uh optimistic more so than professional 06:45 investors so as a result of that 06:47 bitcoin's up and down price Cycles have 06:49 been uh sort of much more pronounced 06:51 because they've been relying on average 06:53 people and their behavior and average 06:55 people and their behavior is much more 06:57 uh pronounced to the upside and the 06:59 downside 07:00 than professional Traders and investors 07:02 on Wall Street um so now that we're 07:04 we've moved more into a professional 07:07 world where the Bitcoin ETFs and Bitcoin 07:09 itself is held by a lot of companies Etc 07:12 um we may not get a down a downturn in 07:14 2026 so if somebody came to me and said 07:17 I'm going to wait and buy Bitcoin on a 07:18 downturn in 2026 rather than buy it now 07:21 I would say there are multiple problems 07:23 with that strategy one we don't even 07:25 know there's going to be a downturn in 07:26 2026 lots of people have been waiting 07:29 for years for a big downturn in the 07:30 overall stock market with the plan to 07:33 invest in fact when I talked to my 07:35 financial the very first financial 07:37 adviser that I set up an account with 07:39 back in 2014 when I sold bomgar 07:41 Corporation the Dow Jones Industrial 07:43 Average was at 07:45 15,500 and I said should I invest now at 07:47 15,500 or since we're more than you know 07:50 five six seven whatever years since the 07:53 last uh recession in 2008 2009 I guess 07:56 so it was like five or six years I was 07:58 like why don't I just wait for the 07:60 recession and I'll and buy stock for 08:02 cheap he's like yeah but you don't know 08:04 how high it's going to go before the 08:05 next recession and if the price goes 08:07 high enough before the the next 08:08 recession then you're going to end up 08:11 buying it you're going to end up sitting 08:12 in cash that's losing value due to 08:15 inflation because the government never 08:17 stopped running their money printers um 08:19 you're going to either lose a bunch of 08:20 value and then the price correction is 08:22 going to come but it's never going to 08:23 get anywhere close to 08:26 15,300 and this financial adviser it was 08:29 wise advis it was completely right so we 08:32 have not had a major recession since 08:33 2014 it's been 10 years had I left that 08:37 money in US Dollars it would have lost a 08:39 substantial amount of its value in that 08:41 time and even if there is a recession in 08:44 this broad stock market right now it 08:46 would be almost Unthinkable that the 08:49 price would get cheaper than 15,300 08:51 meaning the right thing for me to do 08:53 back then was invest my money not to 08:56 wait for a downturn well the same is 08:57 true right now with Bitcoin the best 08:60 thing to do with Bitcoin right now is to 09:02 invest in Bitcoin right now because the 09:05 if there is a downturn in 2026 there is 09:08 a good chance that the downturn in 2026 09:10 will be to a price that is still higher 09:13 than today's price and even if it's not 09:15 higher than today's price the 09:17 probability you'll know when that 09:18 downturn is happening you know the the 09:21 you'll be able to predict the bottom of 09:22 it or buy it cheaper than today's price 09:24 in my opinion is pretty low so Point 09:27 number one for all this is should you 09:29 wait for 09:30 2026 for a downturn to buy Bitcoin my 09:33 answer is no I would not do that almost 09:34 everybody that tries to play that timing 09:36 game ends up losing I I think that's a 09:39 you know a great way to lose give me one 09:43 second okay so question number two is 09:47 now still a good time to buy Bitcoin I 09:49 would say yes at $97,000 per coin now is 09:52 a great time to buy Bitcoin now if we 09:54 spiked overnight up to 120 150 180,000 a 09:58 coin I would say it's never a bad time 10:01 to buy Bitcoin you just need to 10:03 understand that if you're buying in a 10:05 radical UPR rally that you the the the 10:08 ne the necessity for patience is high as 10:12 in you need to be prepared that we could 10:14 go through a downturn and you could have 10:16 to hold that Bitcoin that you bought at 10:18 120 or 150,000 a coin or 180 or 200,000 10:22 a coin you might have to sit on that for 10:24 a year or two or more to get back in the 10:27 money where your investment is worth 10:29 more than you paid for it uh again that 10:31 doesn't mean it's a bad investment I 10:33 mean all Investments involve patients 10:35 and virtually all Investments that 10:36 people make in anything are in an asset 10:39 that ends up at some point cheaper than 10:41 the price they paid for it because if it 10:43 wasn't cheaper than the price they paid 10:45 for it ever it means they perfectly 10:47 timed the bottom of it and nobody 10:49 perfectly times the bottom of anything 10:51 so every asset I've ever bought 10:53 including every Bitcoin I've ever bought 10:55 at some point after I bought it at that 10:57 price the price went up and down and I 10:59 could have temporarily bought it at some 11:01 cheaper price but that's impossible to 11:03 time so if you're waiting for 2026 for a 11:05 downturn in Bitcoin again the number one 11:08 problem with that strategy is there 11:09 might not be a big downturn in Bitcoin 11:12 in 2026 as I said people have been 11:14 waiting for a big downturn in the stock 11:15 market you know since 2014 and it's been 11:18 a decade and if you've out been out of 11:21 the market this whole time well the 11:23 stock market has you know tripled in 11:26 value while you've been sitting on the 11:28 sidelines learn losing a third of your 11:29 value to inflation well you've been 11:31 completely screwed so I would not so the 11:34 first flaw with that strategy is there 11:36 might not be a downturn in 2026 the 11:38 second one is if there is you have no 11:41 idea when it's going to start when it's 11:42 going to end or how low it will go and 11:45 if you time it wrong you're completely 11:47 screwed so let's assume the price goes 11:49 runs up to you know 220,000 a coin or 11:53 let's say 280 that's a that's a good 11:54 number I've been using a lot 11:56 280,000 and you assume it's going to 11:58 price crack down to 140,000 and you're 12:01 going to buy it well first of all 140 is 12:03 higher than today's price so you're 12:04 still better off buying it today at 97 12:08 then in 2026 not this year but next year 12:11 Watching You Know buying it at uh at 140 12:15 plus if you decide you're going to buy 12:17 it at 140 after a 50% price correction 12:19 from 12:20 280,000 then what happens if it only 12:22 price corrects down to 150 because no 12:25 matter what number you are guessing it's 12:27 going to get to as the lowest price in 12:29 2020 6 um you have a problem which is 12:32 somebody's trying to out guess you so if 12:34 you're like I'm sure there's going to be 12:35 a 50% price correction well guess what 12:37 somebody else is also sure and they plan 12:39 to buy all their Bitcoin at a 49% price 12:42 correction because they assume people 12:44 like you are waiting for a 50% price 12:45 correction therefore the price dips 12:48 almost down to 140,000 but not quite it 12:51 stops at 141 or 142 and a bunch of 12:54 people step in who are like I'm not you 12:56 know I'm going to front run the fools 12:58 that are waiting for 50% um so frankly 13:00 that happened back in 2022 right so a 13:03 lot of people were like I'm waiting for 13:04 an 80% price correction well it never 13:07 got to 80 it got to 78 and people like 13:10 me were buying it all the way down 13:12 because we didn't know I mean we didn't 13:14 know if it was going to bottom the 13:15 actual exact precise percentage was 13:18 77.5 so the the price draw down in 2022 13:23 from FTX blowing up and all that sort of 13:25 stuff was 77.5% well there was people 13:28 waiting for 78 there was people waiting 13:30 for 80 there was people waiting for 84 13:32 because the draw down after 2017 had 13:34 been 84% um so you just don't know and I 13:38 think we are in a world where the 13:40 percentage draw Downs are going to be 13:42 radically smaller now than they were in 13:44 the past we don't know that I just think 13:45 there's a high probability that you know 13:47 we're not going to see the same sort of 13:49 big draw downs we have in the past if I 13:51 had to predict how big the biggest draw 13:53 down is in um you know in 2020 uh 2026 13:57 if there is one I would say 50% but I 13:60 think it's a 50% coming off of I don't 14:02 know 240,000 down to you know down to20 14:08 or 280,000 dropping down to two you know 14:11 140,000 so I think whatever it is I 14:13 think that the price drop in 14:15 2026 is going to end up being dropping 14:18 to a price that is above 97 which is why 14:22 I think now is a great time to buy 14:23 Bitcoin which is why I personally bought 14:25 hundreds of thousands of dollars of 14:27 additional Bitcoin today literally day I 14:30 bought hundreds of thousands of dollars 14:31 of additional Bitcoin uh because I had a 14:34 stock a company that I had invested back 14:36 in 2021 the stock became liquid today 14:39 which means my first opportunity to sell 14:40 the stock um uh became available and so 14:45 I sold that stock this morning and I 14:47 bought Bitcoin with it well I would not 14:49 be buying hundreds of thousands of 14:51 dollars of Bitcoin at $997,000 per coin 14:54 if I did not think now was a great time 14:55 to buy Bitcoin I think now is a great 14:57 time to buy Bitcoin that's why I'm 14:58 buying Bitcoin 14:60 um so but the reason you need to know 15:02 this is because here's what I do not 15:04 want you to do here's what a lot of 15:06 people do right so the price crosses 15:09 $100,000 and for the second time and a 15:11 bunch of people are going to wake up 15:12 they're like oh man it crossed 100 the 15:14 first time but I wasn't ready and I 15:16 wasn't paying attention and then it 15:17 dropped back down then I thought the 15:19 rally was over then I thought the price 15:20 you know the party was done no point in 15:23 you know investing in something after 15:24 the party ends and then when it crosses 15:26 100,000 again which I don't know might 15:28 be tomorrow might be next week might be 15:30 in a month I don't know it's going to 15:31 cross 100 again and the people are going 15:33 to be like ooh 100,000 that's you know 15:37 it's back like I really got to get it 15:39 this time so they'll buy a little bit at 15:40 100 then they'll buy more at 120 they'll 15:43 buy more at 160 they'll buy more at 15:45 200,000 they'll buy more at 220,000 and 15:48 finally their their conviction will be 15:51 let's let's assume that you know the top 15:52 of this Market cycle is somewhere 15:54 between 280,000 and 350,000 let's use 15:57 280 because that's the illustration I 15:59 used ear right so they're like okay you 16:02 know I'm going to you know their their 16:04 conviction keeps growing every time they 16:05 buy and then finally it gets to 240,000 16:08 they're like I'm all in this is going to 16:10 go on forever this is you know can't 16:12 possib I can't possibly lose and they 16:14 shove all their money in that they could 16:17 possibly afford at 240,000 and then we 16:20 subsequently go back to 140 for a period 16:22 of time and then go back up to 500,000 16:25 but their conviction is they bought at 16:27 240 which means they're going to end up 16:28 underwater 16:30 at a price below 240,000 for an extended 16:32 period of time it will come back you 16:34 know in if there's a big recession in 16:36 2026 we'll probably get back up to that 16:39 price in 2027 or 2028 and then we'll 16:41 pass 500,000 and go on our way to a 16:44 million so we're going to go to a 16:46 million regardless but I just hate to 16:48 see people invest at the very peak of a 16:50 cycle because if you invest in the peak 16:52 of the cycle you have to be patient to 16:55 you know for the investment to come back 16:56 up after the the the cycle passes and 16:60 you end up with a bunch of Bitcoin you 17:01 bought at 240,000 or 280,000 a coin that 17:05 you know you could have bought now for 17:06 right for 97,000 a coin or if it you 17:10 know really gets insane you could dollar 17:12 cost average and that at least gives you 17:13 some uh you know uh evens it out a 17:16 little bit um so to recap I think now is 17:19 a great time to buy Bitcoin below 17:21 $100,000 it's at $97,000 per right now 17:24 if you decide you know I think the 17:27 probability of a major correction if 17:28 somebody said you have to pick are we in 17:30 a super cycle where we just don't get 17:32 you know huge price pullbacks like we 17:34 used to or are is it going to follow the 17:36 same fouryear cycle I would say I don't 17:38 know 50/50 either way 50 50% chance 17:41 either way okay so if you got a 50% 17:44 chance either way then there's a 50% 17:46 chance we're not going to get a big 17:47 price pullback which means now is a good 17:48 time to buy no matter what and even if 17:50 we do there's a good chance that the 17:52 lowest price you'll be able to buy it in 17:54 the next downturn is at a price higher 17:56 than 97,000 meaning now is also a good 17:58 time to buy 17:59 so um so again the problems with waiting 18:02 for a downturn is you know you're not 18:04 going to time it right and there may not 18:06 be one and you get end up getting left 18:08 you know Left Behind the whole time 18:10 which is you know what happens to people 18:11 all the time so my goal for everyone is 18:14 that Bitcoin is a blessing to them that 18:17 living on sound money which means money 18:19 that the government can't just inflate 18:20 out of nowhere that is a blessing to 18:22 everyone and the more it is a blessing 18:24 to everyone the better it is for you 18:26 know all of the people I know and love 18:28 and hopefully that you know the vast 18:29 majority of those people are on Facebook 18:31 and hopefully some of them watching this 18:32 video um so anyway so now's a great time 18:35 to buy I would not wait for a dip the 18:37 higher the price goes you're going to 18:39 notice that my videos become more uh 18:42 cautionary as and if we end up on an 18:45 epic price run where it just like blows 18:47 the roof off I'm going to be like okay 18:49 people you know you were supposed to buy 18:51 as much Bitcoin as you could before this 18:53 happened doesn't mean it's a bad time to 18:55 buy I mean if the price races from 18:57 100,000 up to 40 150 180 that doesn't 19:01 mean it's a bad time to buy it's just 19:03 man it makes me nervous because you're 19:05 you're you're trying to catch a uh you 19:08 know a a a rocket that is in the process 19:10 of blasting off and when you're trying 19:11 to catch a rocket that's in the process 19:13 of blasting off if it doesn't go as high 19:15 as you want you can end up kind of 19:16 grabbing the rocket at the very peak of 19:18 its liftoff or at the peak of its 19:21 altitude before it comes back down for a 19:23 breather before It ultimately goes where 19:24 you want it to go so um it's not really 19:27 a problem because Bitcoin is such an 19:28 incredible asset that I think you know 19:30 it's going to take over the world it 19:31 will be the future monetary system no 19:32 matter what it just means you're going 19:34 to end up having to be a lot more 19:35 patient than you want to be so uh you 19:38 might have to uh you know if you if you 19:40 time the market the worst possible time 19:43 well you might be waiting two years 19:44 before your you know investment is up 19:46 versus at a time like now it feels 19:48 pretty solid that you're going to feel 19:50 good about your investment uh no matter 19:51 what so uh anyway so I think in the 19:55 three-year cycle the previous all-time 19:58 Peak years we're 2013 2017 and 2021 so 20:03 given that it is a 4-year price cycle 20:05 that would predict that 2025 should be 20:07 an amazing year for Bitcoin so I expect 20:10 everyone in Bitcoin expects 2025 to be 20:12 an amazing year for Bitcoin the dangers 20:15 for an amaz amazing year of Bitcoin is 20:18 fear of missing out now there's nothing 20:19 wrong with fear of missing out but 20:21 ideally you want to have fear of missing 20:23 out when the price is lower instead of 20:24 higher and the people who have to be the 20:26 most patient are the people who are hit 20:28 with fear of missing out when the price 20:31 is just going insane and the price when 20:34 the price is going insane and people are 20:35 just piling in not only does it make the 20:38 price go even more insane it also means 20:40 the people are buying at those 20:41 comparatively high prices are just going 20:43 to have to be a lot more patient for the 20:45 price of Bitcoin to be consistently 20:47 above the price they bought versus right 20:49 now at 97,000 a coin it feels like yeah 20:52 I feel I feel good about this if 20:53 somebody came to me and said should I 20:54 buy right now I'd say yeah uh I think 20:57 Bitcoin at 97,000 is a good you know 20:59 that doesn't mean you won't have to be 21:00 patient it just means I don't think 21:02 you're buying some sort of top or 21:03 something like that which becomes more 21:06 likely sort of you know the more if 21:09 you're buying in a again a parabolic 21:10 insane up upward rally it gets more and 21:13 more likely that you are buying on a 21:15 sort of a Cra Crazy upside um so anyway 21:18 I think it's a great time to buy I would 21:19 not wait but I also you know if you 21:22 haven't been studying Bitcoin and 21:24 understanding its value I would get on 21:25 it so that you acquire as much Bitcoin 21:27 as you can while the prices are still 21:29 comparatively low um otherwise you just 21:31 have to be a lot patient for a lot 21:32 longer which is fine you know investing 21:34 is about patience regardless so uh 21:36 anyway I'll do a lot more videos about 21:38 whether or not there will be a downturn 21:40 in 2026 what I think's happening in 21:42 2025 and how it all fits together but I 21:45 wanted to at least kick this one off 21:47 with those are my thoughts of where we 21:49 are still a great time to buy I would 21:51 not wait for a downturn but there might 21:52 be a downturn in 2026 and you know 21:56 better to frontload your Bitcoin 21:58 purchases the price is still low then 22:00 suddenly get a huge amount of conviction 22:02 when the price is going vertical and 22:04 then suddenly your vertical purchases 22:06 end up having do requiring you to be a 22:08 patient for a lot longer still a great 22:10 investment you just have to be patient 22:11 for a lot longer if you're buying in 22:13 that sort of vertical rally so hope this 22:15 video is helpful have a great day 22:16 everyone