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Bitcoin will catch up to gold, and in the meantime is holding up amazingly well!
Published May 15, 2025
by Joel Bomgar
YouTube Video Transcript
00:01 Hey everyone. So, Bitcoin has been
00:03 holding up uh amazingly well through the
00:06 economic chaos of the last few weeks.
00:08 And uh in addition to that, uh it will
00:11 eventually catch up to gold. So, uh
00:13 right now, because of the economic chaos
00:16 related to the announcement of tariffs
00:17 and all of the crazy stuff uh related to
00:19 that, uh gold has taken off. Gold, the
00:22 precious metal, the yellow rock is has
00:25 uh been setting, you know, all-time high
00:28 after alltime high after all-time high.
00:30 and today was above $3,300 an ounce,
00:34 which is significantly higher than it's
00:35 ever been in human history by a long
00:38 shot. Um, so why is gold way up? Well,
00:41 uh, gold was already held by a lot of
00:43 central banks. Uh, essentially when
00:45 economic chaos happens, people run to
00:48 safety and the expectation was that
00:50 people would run to the safety of US
00:52 Treasury bonds. That is what normally
00:55 happens. And so um the Trump administ
00:58 administration, Scott Bessant, you know,
01:01 all of the powers that be, uh had a
01:03 strategy which was they were going to
01:05 slap a ton of tariffs on everybody that
01:08 was going to freak out the stock market.
01:10 As a result of that, uh there would be a
01:12 flight what's called a flight to safety.
01:14 A flight to safety is when everybody
01:16 runs away from risk and tries to put
01:18 their money in stuff that they perceive
01:20 to be uh the least risky. and um and as
01:23 a result of that uh they would buy US
01:25 government treasury bonds. But that is
01:27 not what happened. That strategy failed
01:29 because instead of running to US
01:31 government treasury bonds, people
01:33 instead ran to gold. Uh and to some
01:36 degree Bitcoin, although Bitcoin is
01:37 still um you know, the massive upswing
01:40 that will result in um you know, people
01:43 the flight to safety going to Bitcoin
01:45 has not yet happened. So if you're
01:46 looking for a good time to buy Bitcoin,
01:48 I would say now is a fantastic time to
01:50 buy Bitcoin. Um, so anyway, so uh the
01:53 reason the flight to safety went to gold
01:55 is gold is a pre-approved asset class by
01:58 everybody that was uh having a flight to
02:00 safety. So right now um there are zero
02:03 central banks that hold uh bitcoin on
02:05 their balance sheets and but virtually
02:08 all the central banks hold some amount
02:10 of gold on their balance sheet. So it's
02:11 very easy for a central bank to add gold
02:15 to the balance sheet. It's literally
02:16 just an asset allocation decision like
02:18 they make it, you know, a thousand times
02:20 a day on asset allocation decisions. It
02:22 requires no approval, no extra. You
02:24 don't have to jump through any hoops.
02:26 It's just as simple as them saying,
02:27 "Hey, let's buy some more gold." Like,
02:29 it's that simple. Let's buy some more
02:30 gold. Um, that is not the case for
02:32 Bitcoin. Uh, zero central banks own
02:34 Bitcoin um on their balance sheet, even
02:38 though the United States has a strategic
02:40 Bitcoin reserve. I believe that's part
02:41 of the Treasury, not the central bank.
02:43 Uh and the US government has not bought
02:45 any Bitcoin. Um same with El Salvador.
02:48 They don't have a central bank. So
02:49 there's no way for there there is no
02:51 central bank in El Salvador to be buying
02:53 Bitcoin. So as a result of that when the
02:55 entire market freaked out and panicked
02:57 and I've posted a couple episodes by
02:59 Jack Mers, uh Jack Mullers, the CEO,
03:01 founder and CEO of Strike, S R I ke some
03:05 of the best content out there explaining
03:07 what has happened over the last couple
03:09 weeks. So, if you want to get the
03:11 rundown from Jack Mers, uh just go back
03:13 through my Facebook uh posts and find
03:15 the podcast episodes from Jack Mers, uh
03:19 the one from earlier this week as well
03:20 as the one from about 10 days ago, which
03:22 was um Monday or Tuesday of last week.
03:25 He does a really good job of explaining
03:26 everything, including this week
03:28 especially, does a really good job of
03:30 explaining what all went down. Um so,
03:32 anyway, so short take is the uh
03:35 government tried to crash the stock
03:37 market to get people to buy Treasury
03:38 bonds. so that it would push the
03:40 interest rates down on Treasury bonds.
03:42 That did not work. Um, instead of buying
03:44 Treasury bonds, central banks instead
03:46 bought gold and China in retaliation for
03:50 the tariffs dumped uh some amount. Uh, I
03:53 saw one report that said it was $50
03:54 billion of Treasury bonds. So, the short
03:57 take is the interest rate started
03:58 climbing on the Treasury bonds instead
03:60 of going down, which was what was
04:01 intended. Uh, of course, the tariffs
04:03 were a stupid idea all along. Uh,
04:05 tariffs are just bad policy, period.
04:07 there's there's there's no good reason
04:09 to have a tariff. Um even though people,
04:12 you know, contort themselves in all
04:13 sorts of bizarre uh contortions to try
04:15 to say, "Hey, it's actually a good thing
04:17 and it's a negotiating strategy and all
04:18 this sort of stuff, tariffs just flat
04:20 out don't work." And we've seen again
04:22 here that they are not working. They are
04:24 not having the intended effect. Uh so uh
04:27 as a result of that, the flight was to
04:29 gold rather than treasury bonds. Now,
04:31 why does that uh affect Bitcoin or how
04:33 does that affect Bitcoin? It's actually
04:35 a big deal for Bitcoin because one
04:41 second because in the continuum of
04:45 assets, gold is much closer to Bitcoin
04:48 than US government treasury bonds. So if
04:50 everybody if the flight to safety
04:52 results in everybody going to US
04:53 government treasury bonds, there's no
04:55 reason to
04:56 subsequently believe that that flight
04:59 would then continue on to Bitcoin. Um,
05:02 but the the case with gold is much
05:04 stronger because gold, the reason you
05:06 would own gold in a situation like this
05:08 is identical to the reason you would own
05:10 Bitcoin, which is you're freaked out
05:11 about the, you know, the global economic
05:13 system. You don't want to own Treasury
05:15 bonds because you think the government's
05:16 going to print a ton of money, which is
05:18 going to drive up inflation, and nobody
05:20 wants to own a Treasury bond that pays
05:22 4.5% if the government's going to print
05:25 so much money that, you know,
05:26 inflation's 8% or 10% or 14%. So um but
05:30 on on the reverse side, any money in
05:33 gold is one step away from Bitcoin
05:35 because the investment thesis for gold
05:37 is identical to the investment thesis
05:39 for Bitcoin with the difference being
05:41 that Bitcoin is a much has much stronger
05:44 and better monetary properties as
05:46 compared to gold. So any money that is
05:48 in gold can easily end up one day in
05:51 Bitcoin. So the market um most of the
05:54 people like me would look at the total
05:55 market for bitcoin uh the sort of the
05:58 first stage the easy first stage being
06:00 the size of the market for gold. So the
06:02 total value of the market for gold right
06:04 now is something like $22 trillion. Uh
06:07 that's the value of all the gold that's
06:08 ever been dug out of the ground or
06:10 discovered in the entirety of human
06:12 history that you know humans have access
06:13 to is about $22 trillion. Uh the total
06:16 value of all the Bitcoin in the world is
06:18 something like 1.6 trillion. Uh I didn't
06:20 check the uh numbers. I checked the
06:22 numbers this morning, but I can't
06:23 remember exactly what they were. I think
06:24 it was 1.6 and 22. Anyway, the value of
06:27 all the gold in the world is 13 times
06:29 larger, 13 times larger. 13 times larger
06:32 than uh all of the Bitcoin in the world,
06:35 which means even to reach parody with
06:37 gold, Bitcoin can go up by a factor of
06:40 13x. Um, which is a lot. 13x is a, you
06:44 know, huge 1,300%. That is a huge gain.
06:48 um that's effectively I would consider
06:50 in the bag uh for Bitcoin before you
06:53 even start having a conversation about
06:55 how much better Bitcoin is than gold. So
06:58 any flight to safety that involves
07:00 assets going into gold is eventually
07:03 going to end up in a situation where
07:04 those assets go into Bitcoin instead. Uh
07:08 it's just, you know, obviously going to
07:09 take a, you know, a series of years or,
07:12 you know, potentially decades long or
07:13 longer. Um because hold on one second
07:16 here. There's weird weird traffic
07:18 patterns. Um anyway, um doesn't matter.
07:21 My Tesla is driving itself, so it's
07:24 better at recognizing weird traffic
07:26 patterns than I am. Uh I haven't touched
07:28 the steering wheel or the pedals since I
07:30 started recording this video. Actually,
07:32 I haven't touched the steering or the
07:33 pedal steering wheel or the pedals or
07:35 anything in the car uh since I was in my
07:37 driveway. I literally pushed a button in
07:40 my garage and I have not touched
07:42 anything since I pushed the button in my
07:44 garage. and you know I'm driving anyway.
07:47 Um so any money in in uh in gold is one
07:50 step away from Bitcoin and gold has been
07:52 on a wild tear and eventually Bitcoin
07:54 will catch up to that. Now Bitcoin has
07:56 been holding up shockingly well with all
07:58 this economic chaos. Normally people run
08:01 away from anything that's new. Uh right
08:04 now people are running away from the
08:05 stock market, away from the NASDAQ, away
08:07 from the magnificent seven stocks. just
08:09 they're running away from everything
08:11 including a bunch of crypto like
08:12 Ethereum and stuff like that that uh you
08:15 know cryptocurrencies or crypto projects
08:17 or smart contract platforms. Uh anything
08:20 that is not Bitcoin in crypto people
08:22 have generally been running away from.
08:24 But Bitcoin is holding up uh you know
08:26 surprisingly well at about $84,000 per
08:28 coin. Uh and that's because every time
08:30 it's dipped there's been someone there
08:32 to buy it. Um, a week or two ago, that
08:35 was me when I took my total Bitcoin
08:37 exposure from 99% up to an even 100% of
08:41 all of the liquid assets that I own or
08:44 control are now in Bitcoin. And uh, so
08:48 there's people like me that every time
08:49 it dips far enough, it's like, nope, you
08:51 it's not going to dip any farther
08:52 without me buying more. Uh, Micro
08:54 Strategy's been buying more uh more
08:56 Bitcoin.
08:58 Um, I keep up on on up with it on
09:01 Twitter a ton and there's companies
09:04 there's I mean governments and you know
09:06 tend to be small governments. I mean
09:08 there is a lot of Bitcoin of uh buying
09:11 happening right now. Um which is why
09:14 every time the price tries to dip it
09:15 eventually gets bought up and pushed
09:17 back up. So eventually all of that
09:19 buying pressure will exhaust the people
09:21 who are willing to sell their Bitcoin at
09:24 84,000 a coin and Bitcoin will go on a
09:27 wild tear um as it always does
09:30 eventually if you wait long enough. Uh a
09:32 big uh determinant of that is uh the how
09:36 quickly gold goes up. So historically
09:38 there's a lot of people posting on uh
09:41 social media on X right now showing that
09:43 once gold goes up typically there's a a
09:46 time lag of I forget what it is 108 days
09:49 or 12 weeks or some some amount uh that
09:53 uh Bitcoin tends to go up after gold. So
09:55 gold tends to go up first because it's
09:57 pre-approved on a lot more in a lot more
09:60 places than Bitcoin as in central banks
10:02 can buy um they can buy gold without
10:05 thinking twice. Bitcoin is obviously not
10:07 approved uh by central banks for
10:09 purchasing on the fly. When it is one
10:11 day, you'll really see what the price of
10:13 Bitcoin is capable of. But right now,
10:16 you know, every time everybody freaks
10:18 out, the central banks buy more gold. Uh
10:20 and that's what they've been doing
10:21 handover fist. I mean, it's just been a
10:23 a massive, you know, gold buying spree
10:26 over the last, you know, couple weeks
10:28 especially, but really the last nine
10:30 months, there's just been a ton of gold
10:32 acquisition. So, uh, anyway, so for all
10:34 those reasons, I think it's only a
10:36 matter of time till Bitcoin goes way,
10:38 way, way up. And, uh, what matters is
10:40 how much Bitcoin you own before that
10:43 happens. Um, so now is a great time to
10:45 buy. You can buy Bitcoin discounted at
10:47 84,000 a coin in a world where everybody
10:50 is panic buying gold um, and running
10:53 away from risky assets. And Bitcoin is
10:55 still holding up surprisingly well, but
10:57 is still available at a discount. So one
10:59 day uh a huge amount of that money that
11:01 is in gold will start to flow into
11:03 Bitcoin instead and then instead of just
11:06 holding up very nicely, you will see
11:08 what Bitcoin is truly capable of, which
11:10 is going to be uh absolutely epic. And
11:12 it's just a matter of time. So um
11:14 anyway, be patient, stack as much
11:16 Bitcoin as you possibly can, hold on to
11:18 it for as long as conceivably possible,
11:20 and it will reward you handsomely as it
11:23 always does. Have a great night,
11:24 everyone. Thanks.
Disclaimer:
The content provided in this post is for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, and all opinions expressed are my own. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Investing in Bitcoin or any other assets carries risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.
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